David Perell

David Perell quotes on predict the future

"The Writing Guy". He tweet about business, online learning, and Internet writing.

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Education is broken. Here is what the future of education will look like: Teaching will become an extremely lucrative profession. Salaries will follow a power law. The best teachers will make millions of dollars per year and teach thousands of students per year.


The future of education. Some predictions: 1. Home schooling will be extremely common 2. The stigma around tutoring will disappear. 3. The best independent online teachers will make more than of $1 million per year. A billion dollar business will be built in each space.


If I had to bet on one thing that’s weird now but will be totally normal in 15 years, I’d pick homeschooling


If you’re looking for new business ideas, stop trying to predict the future and start trying to understand the present


~ Prediction time ~ Two things that will be radically different in ten years: 1) Homeschooling: Home schooling will become much more common as the social stigma around it disappears. 2) Cooking: Food delivery will skyrocket due to cloud kitchens and self-driving cars.


Business mantra: The hard problems you solve now will become your competitive edge in the future. Hard life now. Easy life later.


To future entrepreneurs: start writing online. No matter what kind of company you want to start, it pays to have a smart and targeted audience. Writing will help you build credibility, meet investors, and find future co-founders. Invest in your future


The world is going digital. What will the world look like in 10 years? Here are my predictions: Dominance of Cities Life in cities will become much more efficient. Examples include instant food delivery, cloud kitchens, self-driving cars, alternative modes of education.


The books of the future will be a bundle. Authors won't just sell books. They'll sell supplemental videos, podcasts, and live Q&A sessions too. You won't just read the ideas. You'll watch and listen to them too.


A/B testing is over-rated. If you want to build something innovative, follow your intuition. Skip the market research and bet on a bold vision of the future.


One year ago, it felt like self-driving cars were the definite future. Instead, skateboards, scooters + bikes are UNBUNDLING the car. Our transportation needs are surprisingly dynamic + diverse. Variables like weather, neighborhood + time of day matter more than we thought.


Future of education thoughts: 1) Most people struggle to learn on their own, so online learning should be social. 2) Teachers are educators and entertainers. In an age of infinite choice, bored learners will leave. 3) The best teachers will teach millions of students per year.


In the future, there will be two ways to work: Computers tell you what to do, or you tell computers what to do


Three trends for the future of work: 1) More short-term projects. Fewer long-term jobs. 2) Hyper-specialization: Pick a niche and own it. 3) Software automation: Creative and repetitive tasks will be automated. A dream world for brilliant marketers and capable entrepreneurs.


Things that future generations will question: - The absurd cost of college - How hard it is to eat healthy - All the time we spend sitting down at our desks


If you want to see the future of marketing, study YouTubers. Three lessons: 1) Collaborations are an efficient way to grow your audience. 2) Audiences are drawn to enthusiasm like moths to a flame. 3) The internet rewards people who are prolific. Publish consistently.


Recently spoke to the founder of a big toy company. In the past 30 years, she's designed more than 10,000 toys. She has decades of experience, but still can't predict what will be popular. You can't predict success. The lesson: To increase your odds of success, be prolific.


Three trends I'd bet on: 1) Monetization for individual creators, especially podcasts. 2) Live, community-based online education. The social experience is more fun and helps people learn faster. 3) Media companies that use content as a marketing channel, not a revenue stream.


Trends I’m watching: 1) Space is fashionable again. NASA shirts are everywhere. 2) Cost of labor in China is rising, so manufacturing is moving elsewhere. 3) People talk about the death of religion, but ignore the Christianity boom in East Asia and the global growth of Islam.


Playing lots of video games will give kids many of the skills they need to succeed in the future


In the future, schools will pay students to attend in exchange for long-term financial upside


Most important societal trends: • Online dating. • Age distribution. People are having fewer kids as the number of old people increases. • Rise of the “rental economy.” People are buying homes later. Short-term transactions are increasingly common.


If you want to predict where new ideas will emerge, look for places where fields are coming together for the first time.


Calling it now. Tomorrow’s productivity blogs will be video-based. Remote work is exploding. Young people are increasingly comfortable on camera. A handful of knowledge workers will build massive audiences by open-sourcing their workflow. Watch this space.


Once a city, group, or organization reaches a critical mass, it becomes small again. Big cities have small neighborhoods, big groups have cliques, and big organizations have small teams. Likewise, the internet is about to fragment. Small communities are the future.


Invest in your friendships. As the world changes faster and faster, you need friends to help you navigate the future. The future is hard to predict. And friends who help each other have a huge advantage. You and your friends are like CARTOGRAPHERS — mapping out the future.


Prediction: Weekly Sabbaths will make a comeback. The anxieties of the modern world come from abundance, not scarcity. That’s why Stoicism and intermittent fasting are so popular. Next, we’ll find ways to disconnect from technology. 24 hours at a time.


Hot takes on the future of media: 1) Subscriptions wont save journalism. 2) Information abundance is a gift. If you’re overwhelmed, build a note-taking system. 3) Advertising is under-rated. Yes, it brings problems. But it pays for the Internet and the Internet is incredible.


Two connected trends: 1. The end of lifetime employment. 2. People moving to cities. Employers don’t promote lifetime job security anymore. But strong professional networks bring career stability, even after you change jobs. Cities are the best place to build your network.


Your writing is as good as your reader’s inability to predict what you’re going to say next

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