Daniel Vassallo

Daniel Vassallo quotes on predict the future

Building a portfolio of small bets. Quarter-time with Gumroad. Building userbase.com. Creator on dvassallo.gumroad.com. Ask me anything at daniel@hey.com.

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1

Most important lesson I learned about entrepreneurship: You can’t predict the future. You can’t predict what will work. You can’t predict what will last. So the only viable strategy in all this uncertainty is to survive long enough to stumble on good opportunities.

2

Stop focusing on one precise grandiose ambition, and stop trying to predict what will work. Instead, inspire yourself from random things, and take many small safe-to-fail bets.

3

- You can’t predict what will work. - You can’t predict what will last. - You can’t predict the next crisis. Best way to navigate this is to survive long enough to stumble on good opportunities.

4

In highly unpredictable situations (new project/business, etc), it’s unreasonable to expect linear progress. You may work for 6 months and go nowhere, but then something comes to you in a flash. Progress can come from an increase in optionality rather than from direct results.

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